Investigating The Development Trend Of Turkish Economy Between 2006-2019 Through Statistical Methods And Financial Statement Analysis
Author :
Abstract
The aim of this study is to examine the economic development of the Republic of Turkey in the last 14 years. For this purpose, the basic financial table data of the manufacturing industry companies that form the basis of the Turkish economy and the change in the number of companies in the sector between 2006-2019 were analyzed. The data used in the study are obtained from the Entrepreneur Information System of the T.C. Ministry of Industry and Technology. The data obtained were analyzed by trend analysis, one of the financial statement analysis methods. Mann Kendall and Regression Analysis methods were used in trend analysis. In addition, financial forecasts for the next four years were made using the Time Series Analysis method. As a result of the assessment, it was determined that while significant financial breakdowns were experienced in the financial statement data of Turkish manufacturing industry enterprises between 2008, 2011, and 2018, inversely proportional to inflation, these data were generally in an upward trend.
Keywords
Abstract
The aim of this study is to examine the economic development of the Republic of Turkey in the last 14 years. For this purpose, the basic financial table data of the manufacturing industry companies that form the basis of the Turkish economy and the change in the number of companies in the sector between 2006-2019 were analyzed. The data used in the study are obtained from the Entrepreneur Information System of the T.C. Ministry of Industry and Technology. The data obtained were analyzed by trend analysis, one of the financial statement analysis methods. Mann Kendall and Regression Analysis methods were used in trend analysis. In addition, financial forecasts for the next four years were made using the Time Series Analysis method. As a result of the assessment, it was determined that while significant financial breakdowns were experienced in the financial statement data of Turkish manufacturing industry enterprises between 2008, 2011 and 2018, inversely proportional to inflation, these data were generally in an upward trend.
Keywords
- Avcı, Muhammet Ali, ve Harun Sulak (2015). “Kriz Dönemlerinde Ekonomik Büyüme Ile Seçilmiş Ekonomik
- Relationship Between 1990-2009 Period in Turkey.” Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar 52 (604): 29–42.
- Büyükkaraciğan, N. (2019). "Hidrolojik Verilerin Değişkenlik Analizi ve Uygulamaları" İKSAD Yayınları, Ankara
- Cengiz, M. A. ve Terzi, Y. (2020). Korelasyon Analizi - Basit Doğrusal Regresyon Analizi, https://avys.omu.edu.tr › app › public › yukselt, (Erişim Tarihi: 16.05.2021)
- Cıtakoğlu, Hatice ve Necmiye Minarecioğlu (2019). “Trend Analysis of Monthly Average Flows of Kızılırmak
- Çiçek, Hasan, ve Ilkay Doğan (2018). “Türkiye ’ de Canlı Sığır ve Sığır Eti İthalatındaki Gelişmeler ve Üretici.”
- Dalkılıç, Hüseyin Yıldırım (2019). “Yağışların Trend Analizi.” Erzincan Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
- Durana, Pavol ve Radovan Bacik (2020). “Earnings Management: Local or Global Phenomenon in the Visegrad
- Four?” SHS Web of Conferences 92: 02015.
- Ercan, Cuma ve Şenbayram, Emel Aba (2018). “Bist’te Seçilmiş Bir İşletme Üzerinde Trend Analizi Uygulaması:
- Tarım Sektörü Örneği.” 3. Uluslararası El Ruha Sosyal Bilimler Kongresi. 2-3-4 Kasım,2018, 324–333
- Gujarati, Damodar (çev. Ümit Şenesen, Gülay Günlük Şenesen) (2008) "Temel Ekonometri", Literatür Yayınları
- Güngörmüş, Ali Haydar (2007). “Emet Belediyesinde Muhasebe Bilgilerinin Finansal Analiz Teknikleri İçinde Yer
- Hirsch, R.M., vd. (1991). "Selection of methods for the detection and estimation of trends in water quality", Water
- Karabulut, Murat, ve Cosun Fatma (2007). “Kahramanmaraş İlinde Yağışların Trend Analizi.” Coğrafi Bilimler
- Kliestik, Tomas, vd. (2020). “Advanced Methods of Earnings Management: Monotonic Trends and Change-Points
- Kiracı, Kasım, ve Karaaslan, İbrahim (2015). “Seçilmiş Havayolu İşletmelerine Yönelik Trend Analizi Uygulaması
- Özgülbaş, Nermin (2006). “Türkiye’de Kamu Hastanelerinin Finansal Durum Değerlendirmede Kullanılabilecekleri
- Saplıoğlu, Kemal vd. (2018). “Somali’nin Somaliland Bölgesi Yağışlarının Trend Analizi.” Gümüşhane Üniversitesi
- Sargut, Fadime (2018). “Trend Analizi Yöntemi İle Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikasının Finansal Tablo Analizi” Göller
- Terzi, Özlem ve İlker, Ahmet (2020). “Kızılırmak Havzası’nda Sıcaklık Değerlerinin Trend Analizi.” Süleyman
- TOBB (2017), “Türkiye Mobilya Ürünleri Meclisi Sektör Raporu”, TOBB Yayın No: 2018/304
- Usta, Öcal (2008). "İşletme Finansı ve Finansal Yönetim". Detay Yayınları.
- Valášková, Katarína vd. (2020). “Alter Ego Only Four Times? The Case Study of Business Profits in the Visegrad
- Yavuz, A. (2020) Zaman Serisi Analizleri, http://www.mku.edu.tr/files/339-8868446a-e4c0-4070-8530-
- b8beccc1b0ec.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 16.05.2021)
- Yıldırım, Zerife, ve Birecikli, Şenay Üçdoruk (2021). “Dilim Regresyon Yöntemiyle Türkiye’de Hanehalkı Tasarruf
- Yue, S. vd. (2002). "Power of the Mann- Kendall and Spearman’s Rho Tests for Detecting Monotonic Trends in
- Yu, Y.S. vd. (1993). "Non-Parametric Trend Analysis of Water Quality Data of Rivers in Kansas". Journal of
- https://productphilosophy.com/zaman-serisi-analizi/.Zaman Serisi Analizi, (Erişim Tarihi: 16.05.2021)
- https://www.imsad.org/Uploads/Files/Turkiye_IMSAD_Subat2020_Sektor_Raporu.pdf (Erişim Tarihi, 15.05.2021)
- https://haberrus.ru/economics/2015/12/19/rusya-krizi-deri-sektorunu-derinden-etkileyecek.html (Erişim Tarihi:
